Friends,
By the time you read this, the final week of committee meetings will be happening - the only week in December, and we'll be headed towards a January l0 Session opening day. As of today there are about l000 pieces of legislation that have been filed including resolutions, repealers, and trust fund bills. In the 20ll Session there were 2432 pieces of legislation filed - we're not quite at Bill filing deadline but by all indications there won't be much done this year in terms of legislation other than the hand full of big ticket items "they" are choosing to do.
Reapportionment is at the top of the agenda - and it is an interesting issue since it's the only issue in Tallahassee where no lobbyists are involved. And it's personal. And it's paramount in the minds of legislators as it's their very survival as a legislator. We will have a large number of open Senate seats and to create the perfect storm for the Senate becoming "the House" we are losing every long standing Senator including friends to this industry. Names like Sen. Dennis Jones, the Dean of the Legislature, Sen. Mike Bennett, Sen. Mike Fasano, Sen. Paula Dockery, Sen. Larcenia Bullard, Sen. Nan Rich, Sen Evelyn Lynn, among others.
The budget will be one of those big ticket items. This past week, Speaker of the House Dean Cannon squelched the rumor mill that the budget would be done in Special Session in March and/or April. It was Senate President Mike Haridopolis who felt "extra time" might be needed to finish the budget, in addition to waiting for new revenue estimates released in the Spring to give them less cutting to perform. Speaker Cannon said the Legislature "can and should be able to finish the budget by the end of the regular legislative Session."
State economists are projecting a shortfall of $l.2 billion to $2 billion. Because Session begins in January as opposed to March due to reapportionment, lawmakers will miss out on updated estimates hey would normally get. But the Speaker doesn't anticipate the Spring estimates being drastically different from current projections, and said they would "simply need to have a special Session if there is any large shift in revenue projections." The January l0, 2012 Session is scheduled to end March 9, 2012.
Gambling - another high ticket item - I have personally never seen so much money spent on a single issue in Florida's immediate past over 30 years in my experience. Gambling will have it's day but don't expect it to pass or fail without a major battle and a lot of money flowing to campaign funds and lobbying expenditures.
PIP insurance - a month ago I would have suggested PIP wouldn't survive the Session. Now I believe it but they must get their hands around the fraud (Miami Dade being the epicenter of that fraud). With the Governor and the CFO leading this train - something will happen and PIP as we know it today will not survive this Session.
Also be mindful that this is an election year and the entire House and Senate run in new seats making it even more expensive to communicate to voters many of whom have never voted for those legislators.
We also have a Presidential election and a US Senate race, as well as all congressional members and local races of course.
We hope the New Year brings increased business to the members of the Florida Association of Free Clinics - Jose Diaz, Erica Chanti and Kristin Pickens wish you a happy and healthy New Year 2012.
Respectfully yours,
Robert M. Levy
Robert M. Levy & Associates